Feeling the Heat!
Air drag and, sometimes, gravitational effects cause satellites to re-enter the Earth's atmosphere. Occasionally, re-entry is caused by a deliberate decision of a satellite owner to fire a retro-rocket and bring some part of a space vehicle back to Earth.
The majority of re-entries result in the vehicle being destroyed by frictional heating as it passes through the Earth's atmosphere. Some fragments may get through and hit the Earth's surface - hence the system of TIP messages to warn of the event. Only a space vehicle fitted with a heat shield will get through the atmosphere for an actual landing.
Anticipated Re-entries
Information comes from Space-Track. Most entries are from the '60-day' decay prediction messages. If the re-entry date has already passed then you might find the object is also in the Recent Re-entries list further down the page.
Below are re-entries expected over the next days. The list includes only natural re-entries and it excludes planned events such as a Soyuz, Shenzhou or Dragon spacecraft returning from space station duties.
Table created: 2026 Nov 10, 06:03 UTC
| Cat No |
Designation |
Name (SpaceTrack) |
Predicted Date UTC |
Prediction Issued UTC |
| 53740 | 2022-107AS | Starlink 4607 | 2026 Nov 9 | 2026 Nov 7 | | 46563 | 2020-070AH | Starlink 1730 | 2026 Nov 10 | 2026 Oct 28 | | 48558 | 2021-041F | Starlink 2166 | 2026 Nov 10 | 2026 Oct 28 | | 55487 | 2023-015AQ | Starlink 5701 | 2026 Nov 10 | 2026 Nov 8 | | 45387 | 2020-019AD | Starlink 1274 | 2026 Nov 10 | 2026 Nov 7 | | 20893 | 1990-081BD | CZ 4 debris | 2026 Nov 11 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 45088 | 2020-006AW | Starlink 1183 | 2026 Nov 11 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 45696 | 2020-035AR | Starlink 1422 | 2026 Nov 11 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 48130 | 2021-027AQ | Starlink 2472 | 2026 Nov 11 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 48556 | 2021-041D | Starlink 2151 | 2026 Nov 11 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 48597 | 2021-041AW | Starlink 2255 | 2026 Nov 11 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 45700 | 2020-035AV | Starlink 1400 | 2026 Nov 11 | 2026 Nov 8 | | 45390 | 2020-019AG | Starlink 1284 | 2026 Nov 11 | 2026 Nov 8 | | 29441 | 1989-039CQ | Proton second stage debris | 2026 Nov 12 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 45183 | 2020-012F | Starlink 1202 | 2026 Nov 12 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 45235 | 2020-012BK | Starlink 1246 | 2026 Nov 12 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 45543 | 2020-025N | Starlink 1372 | 2026 Nov 12 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 45701 | 2020-035AW | Starlink 1403 | 2026 Nov 12 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 48378 | 2021-038AB | Starlink 2526 | 2026 Nov 12 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 48445 | 2021-040T | Starlink 2634 | 2026 Nov 12 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 48569 | 2021-041S | Starlink 2219 | 2026 Nov 12 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 48586 | 2021-041AK | Starlink 2241 | 2026 Nov 12 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 48596 | 2021-041AV | Starlink 2253 | 2026 Nov 12 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 52574 | 2022-051AQ | Starlink 3901 | 2026 Nov 12 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 67688 | 1998-067YF | HMU-Sat 2 | 2026 Nov 12 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 45676 | 2020-035V | Starlink 1460 | 2026 Nov 13 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 46059 | 2020-055AJ | Starlink 1570 | 2026 Nov 13 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 48662 | 2021-044AA | Starlink 2726 | 2026 Nov 13 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 53790 | 2022-111T | Starlink 4734 | 2026 Nov 13 | 2026 Oct 28 | | 44478 | 2019-049D | Ariane 5 SYLDA | 2026 Nov 14 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 46034 | 2020-055H | Starlink 1557 | 2026 Nov 14 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 47822 | 2021-018AM | Starlink 2407 | 2026 Nov 14 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 48555 | 2021-041C | Starlink 2145 | 2026 Nov 14 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 53208 | 2022-084V | Starlink 4425 | 2026 Nov 14 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 53665 | 2022-105T | Starlink 4334 | 2026 Nov 14 | 2026 Oct 28 | | 48009 | 2021-024AJ | Starlink 2153 | 2026 Nov 15 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 48284 | 2021-036J | Starlink 2564 | 2026 Nov 15 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 53976 | 2022-125N | Starlink 5134 | 2026 Nov 15 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 52674 | 2022-053U | Starlink 3936 | 2026 Nov 16 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 57418 | 2023-102Q | Starlink 30221 | 2026 Nov 16 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 100402 | 2026-191B | Electron second stage | 2026 Nov 16 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 45206 | 2020-012AE | Starlink 1209 | 2026 Nov 17 | 2026 Oct 28 | | 45580 | 2020-025BB | Starlink 1333 | 2026 Nov 17 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 45780 | 2020-038BC | Starlink 1496 | 2026 Nov 17 | 2026 Oct 28 | | 46082 | 2020-055BH | Starlink 1578 | 2026 Nov 17 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 48306 | 2021-036AG | Starlink 2523 | 2026 Nov 17 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 48487 | 2021-040BM | Starlink 2494 | 2026 Nov 17 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 53475 | 2022-099L | Starlink 4389 | 2026 Nov 17 | 2026 Oct 28 | | 62607 | 2025-008W | Starlink 32784 | 2026 Nov 17 | 2026 Oct 28 | | 48442 | 2021-040Q | Starlink 2644 | 2026 Nov 18 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 51775 | 2022-017H | Starlink 3620 | 2026 Nov 18 | 2026 Oct 28 | | 53166 | 2022-083AL | Starlink 4110 | 2026 Nov 18 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 53280 | 2022-086AQ | Starlink 4169 | 2026 Nov 18 | 2026 Nov 4 |
Recent TIP Messages
TIP messages are not a matter of routine and are not issued for all re-entries. They are more up to date and more precise than the Recent Re-entries list.
If you are unfamiliar with how to interpret TIP messages, you are recommended to read the Note at the bottom of the page.
Sometimes there may be a delay between the final TIP message and the re-entry being formally logged in Space-Track's Catalogue so a Message here may relate to a re-entry that has not yet entered the 'Recent' list.
Here is a list of TIP messages where the Window is less than about one quarter orbit. Even then it represents as much as ±9000 km of ground track. Where the window is ±1 minute, the re-entry signature was probably registered by a detector carried on a specialised 'space awareness' satellite.
Table created: 2026 Nov 10, 06:03 UTC
Cat No & Designation |
Name |
Terminal Date & Time UTC |
Lat, Long & Heading (10 km altitude) |
TIP Message Issued UTC |
62204 2024-229N | Starlink 32664 | 2026 Nov 4 14:07 ± 1 minute(s) | 17°.5 south, 137°.6 west southbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2026 Nov 4 21:36 | 46563 2020-070AH | Starlink 1730 | 2026 Nov 7 12:41 ± 1 minute(s) | 50°.7 south, 60°.2 east southbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2026 Nov 7 14:59 | 45695 2020-035AQ | Starlink 1420 | 2026 Nov 6 06:23 ± 1 minute(s) | 38°.1 south, 79°.4 east southbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2026 Nov 6 09:27 | 45555 2020-025AA | Starlink 1327 | 2026 Nov 3 11:02 ± 1 minute(s) | 42°.3 south, 63°.8 east southbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2026 Nov 3 16:41 | 45532 2020-025B | Starlink 1338 | 2026 Nov 7 12:50 ± 1 minute(s) | 47°.7 north, 126°.4 east southbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2026 Nov 7 16:02 | 28485 2004-047A | Swift | 2026 Nov 4 12:39 ± 1 minute(s) | 3°.4 north, 98°.6 east northbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2026 Nov 4 17:35 |
Recent Re-entries
This table is extracted from Space-Track's Catalogue and lists re-entries that occurred in the last 30 days, whether natural or deliberate. Sometimes the date shown indicates when the object was noticed as 'missing from orbit', re-entry may actually have occurred at least one day earlier.
Table created: 2026 Nov 10, 06:03 UTC
| Cat No |
Designation |
Name |
Date UTC |
| 53740 | 2022-107AS | Starlink 4607 | 2026 Nov 8 | | 46563 | 2020-070AH | Starlink 1730 | 2026 Nov 7 | | 45532 | 2020-025B | Starlink 1338 | 2026 Nov 7 | | 45695 | 2020-035AQ | Starlink 1420 | 2026 Nov 6 | | 68028 | 2026-040P | Starlink 36253 | 2026 Nov 6 | | 100883 | 2026-227A | Varda W-8 | 2026 Nov 5 | | 45755 | 2020-038AB | Starlink 1478 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 28485 | 2004-047A | Swift | 2026 Nov 4 | | 62204 | 2024-229N | Starlink 32664 | 2026 Nov 4 | | 45555 | 2020-025AA | Starlink 1327 | 2026 Nov 3 |
Note on TIP Messages
Close to re-entry time for many objects, SpaceTrack issues TIP Messages with a more-precise warning of the event. The meaning of the TIP acronym is lost in the mists of time so Space-Track has re-invented it as 'Tracking and Impact Prediction'.
The message includes an estimated time, latitude and longitude for when the object will go through a height of 10 kilometres (definition - Space-Track) above the ground. It is a rough indication of the start point of the ellipse within which debris might fall given that horizontal velocity will have reduced to near-zero because of air resistance. In some cases, the location is imprecise in practical terms because the window included in the message covers a long track across the Earth's surface.
TIP Messages are often a source of confusion as people take the predicted time literally and ignore the error margin (Window). In 2011 RIA-Novosti used a TIP Message, issued several weeks in advance, to pinpoint a village in North Africa, doggedly insisting that it would feel the full force of of Phobos-Grunt’s re-entry. SpaceTrack's Window was ±2 days, representing over one million kilometres of ground track and a large proportion of the Earth's surface between 52° North and 52° South.
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