/nUpcoming and Recent Decays and Re-entries - eventually air drag, gravity or retro-fire mean that a spacecraft or satellite is no longer able to stay in orbit. It re-enters the atmosphere to be destroyed or make a safe landing.
Orbital Focus - International Spaceflight Facts and Figures
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Launches and Orbital Operations


Tyneside, UK
2022 Aug 14
Sunday, Day 226

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Feeling the Heat!

Air drag and, sometimes, gravitational effects cause satellites to re-enter the Earth's atmosphere. Occasionally, re-entry is caused by a deliberate decision of a satellite owner to fire a retro-rocket and bring some part of a space vehicle back to Earth.

Most re-entries result in the vehicle being destroyed by frictional heating as it passes through the Earth's atmosphere. Some fragments may get through and hit the Earth's surface - hence the system of TIP messages to warn of the event. Only a space vehicle fitted with a heat shield will get through the atmosphere for a landing.

NOTE - Names used here are as used by Space-Track rather than the more-descriptive ones in the Orbital Focus tables.


Anticipated Re-entries

Information comes from Space-Track. Most entries are from the 60-day decay prediction messages that are updated each week on Thursday at about 01:00 UTC. If the re-entry date has already passed then you might find the object is also in the actual re-entry list further down the page.

Below are re-entries expected over the next few weeks. The table includes only natural re-entries of satellites and rocket bodies. It excludes debris items and planned events like a Soyuz or a Dragon spacecraft returning from the ISS.

Cat No Designation Name
(SpaceTrack)
Predicted
Date UTC
Prediction
Issued UTC
49259    2021-087BCZ-3B R/B2022 Aug 142022 Aug 14
47168    2020-088AYSTARLINK-18852022 Aug 142022 Aug 13
45539    2020-025JSTARLINK-13672022 Aug 152022 Aug 14
43043    2017-071GAEROCUBE 7C2022 Aug 162022 Aug 4
44352    2019-036PARMADILLO2022 Aug 242022 Aug 11
45552    2020-025XSTARLINK-13222022 Aug 242022 Aug 11
53270    2022-086AESTARLINK-41132022 Aug 272022 Aug 4
47145    2020-088ZSTARLINK-18582022 Aug 282022 Jul 20
49277    1998-067SWPRCUNAR22022 Aug 312022 Aug 11
49073    2021-074CCZ-4B R/B2022 Sep 22022 Aug 11
43141    2018-004AGSPACEBEE-22022 Sep 82022 Aug 11
43617    2018-070EELFIN A2022 Sep 112022 Jul 20
45533    2020-025CSTARLINK-13392022 Sep 122022 Aug 11
43049    2017-071NASGARDIA 12022 Sep 132022 Aug 11
48867    1998-067SNBD-282022 Sep 132022 Jul 20


Recent TIP Messages

Publication of TIP messages is not a matter of routine and they are not issued for all re-entries. They are more up to date and more precise than entries in the table and take precedence over them.

Readers unfamiliar with how to interpret TIP messages are recommended to read the Note at the bottom of the page.

Sometimes there may be a delay between the final TIP message and the re-entry being formally logged in Space-Track's Catalogue so a Message here may relate to a re-entry that has not yet moved from the 'Anticipated' list to the 'Recent' list.

Orbital Focus shows the predicted impact point only when the Window is less than about one quarter orbit. Even then it represents as much as +/-9000 km.

Table created: 2022 Aug 14, 17:47 UTC

Cat No &
Designation
Name
(Space-Track)
Predicted
Date & Time UTC
Lat, Long & Heading
(10 km altitude)
TIP Message
Issued UTC
53270
2022-086AE
STARLINK-41132022 Aug 10 10:23
± 1 minutes
12°.6 north, 12°.8 east
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2022 Aug 10 11:31
49259
2021-087B
CZ-3B R/B2022 Aug 14 05:31
± 1 minutes
25°.5 south, 109°.5 west
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2022 Aug 14 07:55
48809
2021-047B
CZ-3B R/B2022 Aug 9 07:49
± 1 minutes
20°.7 north, 106°.6 east
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2022 Aug 9 11:46
47168
2020-088AY
STARLINK-18852022 Aug 14 05:57
± 300 minutes
2022 Aug 13 05:41
47145
2020-088Z
STARLINK-18582022 Aug 8 23:15
± 38 minutes
2022 Aug 9 04:09
45539
2020-025J
STARLINK-13672022 Aug 15 05:16
± 120 minutes
2022 Aug 14 16:57
39037
2012-075D
ARIANE 5 DEB (SYLDA)2022 Aug 13 14:37
± 120 minutes
2022 Aug 13 08:27


Recent Re-entries

This table is extracted from Space-Track's Catalogue and lists major re-entries that occurred in the last 30 days, whether natural or deliberate. The list is updated every few hours.


Cat No Designation Name (SpaceTrack) Date UTC
 
43043   2017-071GAEROCUBE 7C2022 Aug 12
53365   2022-094AKPLO2022 Aug 12
53270   2022-086AESTARLINK-41132022 Aug 10
47145   2020-088ZSTARLINK-18582022 Aug 9
48809   2021-047BCZ-3B R/B2022 Aug 9
45126   2019-071RORCA-82022 Aug 8
49274   1998-067STMAYA-42022 Aug 8
43042   2017-071FAEROCUBE 7B2022 Aug 5
49273   1998-067SSMAYA-32022 Aug 4
53314   2019-003KALE-DOM2022 Aug 3
43142   2018-004AHSPACEBEE-12022 Aug 2
39454   2013-067DBREEZE-KM R/B2022 Aug 1
53279   2022-086APSTARLINK-41632022 Jul 31
43052   2017-071RFAUNA2022 Jul 30
53240   2022-085BCZ-5B R/B2022 Jul 30
44249   2019-029QSTARLINK-612022 Jul 29
49222   2021-085ATIANZHOU 32022 Jul 27
42983   1998-067NFSIMPL2022 Jul 26
45763   2020-038AKSTARLINK-15012022 Jul 25
53241   2022-085COBJECT C2022 Jul 25
44364   1998-067QJREDEYE 1 (PINOT)2022 Jul 24
47365   2021-005SSTARLINK-20802022 Jul 22
48969   2021-060CONEWEB-02512022 Jul 20
31136   2007-013BAAM/PSLV2022 Jul 19
46046   2020-055VSTARLINK-15142022 Jul 17


Note on TIP Messages

Close to re-entry time for many objects, SpaceTrack issues TIP Messages with a more-precise warning of the event. The meaning of the TIP acronym is 'Tracking and Impact Prediction'.

The message includes an estimated latitude and longitude for when the object will go through a height of 10 kilometres (definition - Space-Track) above the ground based on the estimated time. It is a rough indication of the start point of the ellipse within which debris might fall given that horizontal velocity will have reduced to near-zero because of air resistance. In most cases, the location is meaningless in practical terms because the Window included in the Message covers a long track across the Earth's surface.

TIP Messages are often a source of confusion as people take the predicted time literally and ignore the error margin (Window) that is also part of the message. In 2011 RIA-Novosti used a TIP Message, issued several weeks in advance, to pinpoint a village in North Africa, doggedly insisting that it would feel the full force of of Phobos-Grunt’s re-entry. SpaceTrack's Window was ±2 days, representing over one million kilometres of ground track and a large proportion of the Earth's surface between 52° North and 52° South.


Page information updated as available

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