/nAnticipated and Recent Re-entries - eventually air drag, gravity or retro-fire mean that a spacecraft or satellite is no longer able to stay in orbit. It re-enters the atmosphere to be destroyed or make a safe landing.
Orbital Focus - International Spaceflight Facts and Figures
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Launches and Orbital Operations


Tyneside, UK
2025 Mar 18
Tuesday, Day 77

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Feeling the Heat!

Air drag and, sometimes, gravitational effects cause satellites to re-enter the Earth's atmosphere. Occasionally, re-entry is caused by a deliberate decision of a satellite owner to fire a retro-rocket and bring some part of a space vehicle back to Earth.

Most re-entries result in the vehicle being destroyed by frictional heating as it passes through the Earth's atmosphere. Some fragments may get through and hit the Earth's surface - hence the system of TIP messages to warn of the event. Only a space vehicle fitted with a heat shield will get through the atmosphere for a landing.

NOTE - Names used here are as used by Space-Track rather than the more-descriptive ones in the Orbital Focus tables.


Anticipated Re-entries

Information comes from Space-Track. Most entries are from the 60-day decay prediction messages. If the re-entry date has already passed then you might find the object is also in the actual re-entry list further down the page.

Below are re-entries expected over the next few weeks. The table includes only natural re-entries of satellites and rocket bodies. It excludes debris items and planned events like a Soyuz, Shenzhou or Dragon spacecraft returning from space station duties.

Table created: 2025 Mar 18, 06:47 UTC

Cat No Designation Name
(SpaceTrack)
Predicted
Date UTC
Prediction
Issued UTC
36985    2010-040ATIANHUI 12025 Mar 162025 Mar 12
55412    2023-014XSTARLINK-50332025 Mar 162025 Mar 12
47403    2021-005BGSTARLINK-21272025 Mar 162025 Mar 12
55759    2023-028USTARLINK-50812025 Mar 162025 Mar 13
44757    2019-074AWSTARLINK-10522025 Mar 162025 Mar 16
55415    2023-014AASTARLINK-56182025 Mar 162025 Mar 13
47564    2021-009SSTARLINK-19632025 Mar 172025 Mar 6
44920    2020-001GSTARLINK-11022025 Mar 172025 Mar 17
59251    2024-049WSTARLINK-314182025 Mar 172025 Mar 17
47675    2021-012BHSTARLINK-20782025 Mar 172025 Mar 18
47138    2020-088SSTARLINK-18502025 Mar 192025 Mar 18
52338    2022-045HSTARLINK-38152025 Mar 192025 Mar 17
62431    2024-250BSL-4 R/B2025 Mar 192025 Mar 17
48369    2021-038SSTARLINK-26412025 Mar 202025 Mar 13
55308    2023-010ARSTARLINK-52922025 Mar 202025 Mar 13
46793    2020-074BGSTARLINK-19412025 Mar 202025 Mar 18
46589    2020-070BKSTARLINK-17492025 Mar 202025 Mar 17
46770    2020-074AHSTARLINK-19322025 Mar 212025 Mar 13
56815    2023-078BASTARLINK-60572025 Mar 212025 Mar 13
48664    2021-044ACSTARLINK-27092025 Mar 212025 Mar 17
44737    2019-074AASTARLINK-10322025 Mar 212025 Mar 17
45745    2020-038RSTARLINK-15032025 Mar 222025 Mar 13
45771    2020-038ATSTARLINK-14632025 Mar 222025 Mar 6
47598    2021-009BCSTARLINK-20032025 Mar 222025 Mar 6
55678    2023-021BCSTARLINK-53142025 Mar 222025 Mar 17
46284    2020-061NDIDO 32025 Mar 232025 Mar 13
47153    2020-088AHSTARLINK-18672025 Mar 232025 Mar 13
47636    2021-012SSTARLINK-20132025 Mar 232025 Mar 13
48680    2021-044AUSTARLINK-26492025 Mar 232025 Mar 13
53222    2022-084AKSTARLINK-43812025 Mar 232025 Mar 13
55578    2023-020KSTARLINK-57132025 Mar 232025 Mar 13
62827    2025-018XSTARLINK-328382025 Mar 232025 Mar 6
45550    2020-025VSTARLINK-13902025 Mar 242025 Mar 6
49149    2021-082VSTARLINK-30532025 Mar 242025 Mar 13
55073    2023-001BSTAUSAT-22025 Mar 242025 Mar 13
46151    2020-057ALSTARLINK-16312025 Mar 252025 Mar 6
47607    2021-009BMSTARLINK-20252025 Mar 252025 Mar 13
47633    2021-012PSTARLINK-20092025 Mar 252025 Mar 6
53678    2022-105AGSTARLINK-44182025 Mar 252025 Mar 6
63152    2025-043WSTARLINK-329152025 Mar 252025 Mar 13
44959    2020-001AXSTARLINK-10762025 Mar 262025 Mar 6
48008    2021-024AHSTARLINK-22712025 Mar 262025 Mar 13
48461    2021-040AKSTARLINK-26932025 Mar 262025 Mar 13
53618    2022-104AGSTARLINK-46042025 Mar 262025 Mar 13
62906    2025-026ESL-4 R/B2025 Mar 262025 Mar 6
47503    2021-006CUKEPLER-11 (DANEEL)2025 Mar 272025 Mar 13
47670    2021-012BCSTARLINK-20622025 Mar 272025 Mar 13
48033    2021-024BJSTARLINK-22862025 Mar 272025 Mar 13
56330    2023-058PSTARLINK-59672025 Mar 272025 Mar 13
46759    2020-074WSTARLINK-18332025 Mar 282025 Mar 13
47597    2021-009BBSTARLINK-20022025 Mar 282025 Mar 13
45184    2020-012GSTARLINK-12052025 Mar 292025 Mar 13
46756    2020-074TSTARLINK-19252025 Mar 292025 Mar 13
47585    2021-009APSTARLINK-19892025 Mar 292025 Mar 6
53689    2022-105ATSTARLINK-45622025 Mar 292025 Mar 13
55646    2023-021USTARLINK-51042025 Mar 292025 Mar 13
57929    2023-147SSTARLINK-304752025 Mar 292025 Mar 13
59793    2024-093MSTARLINK-319012025 Mar 292025 Mar 13
47164    2020-088AUSTARLINK-18792025 Mar 302025 Mar 6
51728    2022-016QSTARLINK-34482025 Mar 302025 Mar 6
55391    2023-014ASTARLINK-50772025 Mar 302025 Mar 13
45683    2020-035ACSTARLINK-13992025 Mar 312025 Mar 13
46042    2020-055RSTARLINK-15812025 Mar 312025 Mar 13
47550    2021-009CSTARLINK-19092025 Mar 312025 Mar 6
47561    2021-009PSTARLINK-19602025 Mar 312025 Mar 13
44767    2019-074BGSTARLINK-10622025 Apr 12025 Mar 13
48645    2021-044HSTARLINK-27332025 Apr 12025 Mar 13
58728    2024-005ASTARLINK-311552025 Apr 12025 Mar 6
46138    2020-057XSTARLINK-15902025 Apr 22025 Mar 13


Recent TIP Messages

Publication of TIP messages is not a matter of routine and they are not issued for all re-entries. They are more up to date and more precise than entries in the table and take precedence over them.

Readers unfamiliar with how to interpret TIP messages are recommended to read the Note at the bottom of the page.

Sometimes there may be a delay between the final TIP message and the re-entry being formally logged in Space-Track's Catalogue so a Message here may relate to a re-entry that has not yet moved from the 'Anticipated' list to the 'Recent' list.

Here is a list of TIP messages where the Window is less than about one quarter orbit. Even then it represents as much as +/-9000 km.

Table created: 2025 Mar 18, 06:47 UTC

Cat No &
Designation
Name
(Space-Track)
Terminal
Date & Time UTC
Lat, Long & Heading
(10 km altitude)
TIP Message
Issued UTC
60456
2024-147C
OBJECT C2025 Mar 12 20:31
± 3 minutes
36°.5 north, 28°.5 west
southbound, ± 0.03 orbits
2025 Mar 13 01:01
55759
2023-028U
STARLINK-50812025 Mar 15 09:46
± 1 minutes
17°.4 south, 97°.9 west
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2025 Mar 15 13:51
55415
2023-014AA
STARLINK-56182025 Mar 16 04:01
± 1 minutes
69°.2 south, 91°.1 west
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2025 Mar 16 06:56
53427
2022-097AR
STARLINK-45412025 Mar 13 23:00
± 1 minutes
47°.1 north, 132°.1 west
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2025 Mar 14 00:44
47917
2021-021BK
STARLINK-23972025 Mar 14 13:22
± 1 minutes
52°.9 north, 123°.4 east
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2025 Mar 14 18:38
47675
2021-012BH
STARLINK-20782025 Mar 17 20:33
± 1 minutes
38°.2 south, 99°.7 west
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2025 Mar 18 01:10
47660
2021-012AS
STARLINK-20442025 Mar 12 06:41
± 2 minutes
50°.2 north, 118°.9 west
northbound, ± 0.02 orbits
2025 Mar 12 09:48
47600
2021-009BE
STARLINK-20052025 Mar 15 06:22
± 1 minutes
37°.2 south, 178°.8 west
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2025 Mar 15 09:58
47403
2021-005BG
STARLINK-21272025 Mar 15 09:46
± 1 minutes
17°.4 south, 97°.9 west
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2025 Mar 15 13:10
47155
2020-088AK
STARLINK-18692025 Mar 11 17:42
± 1 minutes
9°.8 north, 177°.4 east
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2025 Mar 11 22:44
44757
2019-074AW
STARLINK-10522025 Mar 16 17:09
± 2 minutes
32°.4 south, 166°.6 east
northbound, ± 0.02 orbits
2025 Mar 16 22:21
36985
2010-040A
TIANHUI 12025 Mar 15 14:05
± 1 minutes
82°.4 south, 44°.6 east
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2025 Mar 15 18:26


Recent Re-entries

This table is extracted from Space-Track's Catalogue and lists major re-entries that occurred in the last 30 days, whether natural or deliberate. Sometimes the date shown indicates when the object was first noticed as "missing from orbit", re-entry may have occurred at least one day earlier.

Table created: 2025 Mar 18, 06:47 UTC

Cat No Designation Name (SpaceTrack) Date UTC
 
44920   2020-001GSTARLINK-11022025 Mar 17
44757   2019-074AWSTARLINK-10522025 Mar 17
55415   2023-014AASTARLINK-56182025 Mar 16
47403   2021-005BGSTARLINK-21272025 Mar 15
47600   2021-009BESTARLINK-20052025 Mar 15
55759   2023-028USTARLINK-50812025 Mar 15
36985   2010-040ATIANHUI 12025 Mar 15
40038   2014-033AEFLOCK 1C 52025 Mar 14
47578   2021-009AGSTARLINK-19802025 Mar 14
47917   2021-021BKSTARLINK-23972025 Mar 14
52749   2022-057TICEYE-X182025 Mar 14
53427   2022-097ARSTARLINK-45412025 Mar 14
48902   2021-059ZLINCS12025 Mar 13
38768   2012-048LAEROCUBE 4.5B2025 Mar 13
60456   2024-147COBJECT C2025 Mar 13
55929   2023-037RSTARLINK-58982025 Mar 12
47660   2021-012ASSTARLINK-20442025 Mar 12
45546   2020-025RSTARLINK-13752025 Mar 12
54684   2022-167COBJECT C2025 Mar 11
62297   1998-067XDOBJECT XD2025 Mar 11
47892   2021-021AJSTARLINK-23522025 Mar 11
47155   2020-088AKSTARLINK-18692025 Mar 11
46490   2020-068EYARILO-12025 Mar 11
47554   2021-009GSTARLINK-19532025 Mar 10
60951   2024-156GCZ-4B R/B2025 Mar 10
58802   2024-012RSTARLINK-311732025 Mar 10
56771   2023-078ESTARLINK-63392025 Mar 10
53223   2022-084ALSTARLINK-43542025 Mar 10
54247   2022-111ASBLUEWALKER-LVA2025 Mar 9
57586   2023-117GOBJECT G2025 Mar 9
56390   2023-061SSTARLINK-63002025 Mar 9
55055   2023-001AYFLOCK 4Y 42025 Mar 8
58697   2023-174DGLEMUR 2 NANAZ2025 Mar 8
46779   2020-074ASSTARLINK-17982025 Mar 8
53948   2022-121AOBJECT A2025 Mar 8
53818   2022-114ASTARLINK-47492025 Mar 8
40033   2014-033ZFLOCK 1C 112025 Mar 8
44498   2019-054DPEARL WHITE 22025 Mar 8
52758   2022-057ACICEYE-X192025 Mar 8
51845   2022-019XOBJECT X2025 Mar 8
45678   2020-035XSTARLINK-13932025 Mar 7
47586   2021-009AQSTARLINK-19902025 Mar 7
47996   2021-024VSTARLINK-22602025 Mar 7
46671   2020-073BSTARLINK-17152025 Mar 7
47912   2021-021BESTARLINK-23722025 Mar 7
47177   2020-088BHSTARLINK-19072025 Mar 5
62299   1998-067XFONGLAISAT2025 Mar 4
47665   2021-012AXSTARLINK-20562025 Mar 4
58554   2023-193BOBJECT B2025 Mar 4
46481   2020-067DCZ-4B R/B2025 Mar 4
55072   2023-001BRSPHERE-1 EYE2025 Mar 4


Note on TIP Messages

Close to re-entry time for many objects, SpaceTrack issues TIP Messages with a more-precise warning of the event. The meaning of the TIP acronym is 'Tracking and Impact Prediction'.

The message includes an estimated latitude and longitude for when the object will go through a height of 10 kilometres (definition - Space-Track) above the ground based on the estimated time. It is a rough indication of the start point of the ellipse within which debris might fall given that horizontal velocity will have reduced to near-zero because of air resistance. In most cases, the location is meaningless in practical terms because the Window included in the Message covers a long track across the Earth's surface.

TIP Messages are often a source of confusion as people take the predicted time literally and ignore the error margin (Window) that is also part of the message. In 2011 RIA-Novosti used a TIP Message, issued several weeks in advance, to pinpoint a village in North Africa, doggedly insisting that it would feel the full force of of Phobos-Grunt’s re-entry. SpaceTrack's Window was ±2 days, representing over one million kilometres of ground track and a large proportion of the Earth's surface between 52° North and 52° South.


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