/nAnticipated and Recent Re-entries - eventually air drag, gravity or retro-fire mean that a spacecraft or satellite is no longer able to stay in orbit. It re-enters the atmosphere to be destroyed or make a safe landing.
Orbital Focus - International Spaceflight Facts and Figures
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Launches and Orbital Operations


Tyneside, UK
2024 Feb 28
Wednesday, Day 59

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Feeling the Heat!

Air drag and, sometimes, gravitational effects cause satellites to re-enter the Earth's atmosphere. Occasionally, re-entry is caused by a deliberate decision of a satellite owner to fire a retro-rocket and bring some part of a space vehicle back to Earth.

Most re-entries result in the vehicle being destroyed by frictional heating as it passes through the Earth's atmosphere. Some fragments may get through and hit the Earth's surface - hence the system of TIP messages to warn of the event. Only a space vehicle fitted with a heat shield will get through the atmosphere for a landing.

NOTE - Names used here are as used by Space-Track rather than the more-descriptive ones in the Orbital Focus tables.


Anticipated Re-entries

Information comes from Space-Track. Most entries are from the 60-day decay prediction messages. If the re-entry date has already passed then you might find the object is also in the actual re-entry list further down the page.

Below are re-entries expected over the next few weeks. The table includes only natural re-entries of satellites and rocket bodies. It excludes debris items and planned events like a Soyuz, Shenzhou or Dragon spacecraft returning from space station duties.

Cat No Designation Name
(SpaceTrack)
Predicted
Date UTC
Prediction
Issued UTC
43130    2018-004VARKYD 6A2024 Feb 262024 Feb 22
43817    2018-099BMSPACEBEE-52024 Feb 262024 Feb 8
49017    2021-013GIT-SPINS2024 Feb 262024 Feb 22
52024    2022-026SSPACEBEE-1132024 Feb 262024 Feb 22
57601    2023-118BFREGAT R/B2024 Feb 262024 Feb 26
46179    2020-057BQSKYSAT C172024 Feb 262024 Feb 26
52011    2022-026DSPACEBEE-1262024 Feb 272024 Jan 31
52013    2022-026FSPACEBEE-1202024 Feb 272024 Jan 31
48894    2021-059RSPACEBEE-1072024 Feb 282024 Feb 22
52010    2022-026CSPACEBEE-1142024 Feb 282024 Jan 31
47915    2021-021BHSTARLINK-23762024 Feb 292024 Feb 22
49439    2021-104AHSTARLINK-31082024 Feb 292024 Jan 31
48324    2021-036BASTARLINK-25272024 Mar 12024 Feb 22
11251    1979-005AMETEOR 1-292024 Mar 12024 Feb 27
48447    2021-040VSTARLINK-22692024 Mar 22024 Feb 22
52015    2022-026HSPACEBEE-1192024 Mar 22024 Feb 22
57259    2023-094ATSTARLINK-55052024 Mar 22024 Feb 27
58436    2023-182BSL-4 R/B2024 Mar 32024 Feb 22
48899    2021-059WSPACEBEE-1102024 Mar 42024 Feb 22
52188    2022-033AHPLANTSAT2024 Mar 42024 Feb 22
52399    2022-047FSPACEBEE-1402024 Mar 42024 Feb 22
52009    2022-026BSPACEBEE-1212024 Mar 62024 Feb 22
52029    2022-026XSPACEBEE-1242024 Mar 62024 Feb 22
44229    2019-026EHARBINGER2024 Mar 72024 Feb 14
48890    2021-059MSPACEBEE-1042024 Mar 72024 Feb 22
48897    2021-059USPACEBEE-1092024 Mar 72024 Feb 22
52175    2022-033UBDSAT2024 Mar 72024 Feb 22
48896    2021-059TSPACEBEE-1052024 Mar 82024 Feb 22
52406    2022-047NSPACEBEE-1482024 Mar 82024 Feb 22
48888    2021-059KSPACEBEE-1032024 Mar 92024 Feb 22
52027    2022-026VSPACEBEE-1232024 Mar 92024 Feb 22
58891    2024-020RSTARLINK-312452024 Mar 92024 Feb 22
50162    2021-125GSTARLINK-33032024 Mar 102024 Jan 31
52023    2022-026RSPACEBEE-1162024 Mar 102024 Feb 22
46569    2020-070APSTARLINK-17472024 Mar 112024 Feb 14
57996    2023-153FSTARLINK-305432024 Mar 112024 Jan 31
41458    2016-025COUFTI-12024 Mar 122024 Feb 22
48883    2021-059ESPACEBEE-1002024 Mar 122024 Feb 22
52016    2022-026JSPACEBEE-1152024 Mar 122024 Feb 22
44929    2020-001RSTARLINK-11212024 Mar 152024 Feb 14
58730    2024-005CSTARLINK-311502024 Mar 152024 Jan 31
52022    2022-026QSPACEBEE-1172024 Mar 162024 Feb 22
58574    2023-195BCZ-2F R/B2024 Mar 172024 Jan 31
44225    2019-026AAFOTEC-12024 Mar 182024 Feb 22
45234    2020-012BJSTARLINK-12432024 Mar 202024 Feb 22
46722    2020-073BESTARLINK-18252024 Mar 222024 Feb 22
46931    2020-085CCORVUS BC52024 Mar 222024 Feb 22
48886    2021-059HSPACEBEE-1022024 Mar 222024 Feb 22
52279    2022-041USTARLINK-36862024 Mar 232024 Feb 8
44946    2020-001AJSTARLINK-11102024 Mar 242024 Feb 8
52020    2022-026NSPACEBEE-1272024 Mar 242024 Feb 22
58071    2023-158WSTARLINK-305132024 Mar 242024 Feb 22
58695    2024-001BPSLV R/B2024 Mar 242024 Jan 31
47965    2021-023AVEERY-RL12024 Mar 252024 Feb 22
48884    2021-059FSPACEBEE-1012024 Mar 262024 Feb 22
48893    2021-059QSPACEBEE-1062024 Mar 262024 Feb 22
48895    2021-059SSPACEBEE-1082024 Mar 262024 Feb 22
45768    2020-038AQSTARLINK-15212024 Mar 282024 Feb 22
46365    2020-062ASSTARLINK-15502024 Mar 282024 Feb 22
47429    2021-006SSPACEBEE-622024 Mar 282024 Feb 14


Recent TIP Messages

Publication of TIP messages is not a matter of routine and they are not issued for all re-entries. They are more up to date and more precise than entries in the table and take precedence over them.

Readers unfamiliar with how to interpret TIP messages are recommended to read the Note at the bottom of the page.

Sometimes there may be a delay between the final TIP message and the re-entry being formally logged in Space-Track's Catalogue so a Message here may relate to a re-entry that has not yet moved from the 'Anticipated' list to the 'Recent' list.

Orbital Focus shows the predicted impact point only when the Window is less than about one quarter orbit. Even then it represents as much as +/-9000 km.

Table created: 2024 Feb 28, 00:47 UTC

Cat No &
Designation
Name
(Space-Track)
Predicted
Date & Time UTC
Lat, Long & Heading
(10 km altitude)
TIP Message
Issued UTC
58953
2024-014B
AXIOM-3 DEB2024 Feb 26 11:17
± 1 minutes
49°.9 north, 112°.4 west
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2024 Feb 26 11:43
58436
2023-182B
SL-4 R/B2024 Mar 2 19:47
± 1200 minutes
2024 Feb 27 19:17
57601
2023-118B
FREGAT R/B2024 Feb 26 18:43
± 1 minutes
12°.5 south, 166°.9 west
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2024 Feb 26 20:33
57259
2023-094AT
STARLINK-55052024 Mar 2 02:44
± 1140 minutes
2024 Feb 27 03:21
46569
2020-070AP
STARLINK-17472024 Feb 25 03:49
± 1140 minutes
2024 Feb 21 05:50
46179
2020-057BQ
SKYSAT C172024 Feb 26 18:59
± 1 minutes
9°.1 north, 171°.1 west
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2024 Feb 26 19:40
44929
2020-001R
STARLINK-11212024 Feb 25 03:11
± 1140 minutes
2024 Feb 21 05:35
43832
2018-102B
OBJECT B2024 Feb 21 21:30
± 1 minutes
70°.1 north, 10°.4 east
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2024 Feb 21 21:46
23560
1995-021A
ERS 22024 Feb 21 17:17
± 1 minutes
37°.4 north, 151°.9 west
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2024 Feb 21 18:51
11251
1979-005A
METEOR 1-292024 Mar 1 23:45
± 1140 minutes
2024 Feb 27 01:22


Recent Re-entries

This table is extracted from Space-Track's Catalogue and lists major re-entries that occurred in the last 30 days, whether natural or deliberate. The list is updated every few hours.


Cat No Designation Name (SpaceTrack) Date UTC
 
43730   2018-096MGLOBAL-12024 Feb 27
43817   2018-099BMSPACEBEE-52024 Feb 27
48842   2021-050COBJECT C2024 Feb 27
52010   2022-026CSPACEBEE-1142024 Feb 27
52011   2022-026DSPACEBEE-1262024 Feb 27
52013   2022-026FSPACEBEE-1202024 Feb 27
46179   2020-057BQSKYSAT C172024 Feb 26
57601   2023-118BFREGAT R/B2024 Feb 26
40379   2015-003DGRIFEX2024 Feb 24
44818   2019-081QFLOCK 4P 52024 Feb 24
46283   2020-061MFLOCK 4V 122024 Feb 24
47516   2021-006DGFLOCK 4S 162024 Feb 24
47521   2021-006DMFLOCK 4S 152024 Feb 24
52012   2022-026ESPACEBEE-1182024 Feb 24
43832   2018-102BOBJECT B2024 Feb 22
58963   2024-030AIM-1 (ODYSSEUS)2024 Feb 22
23560   1995-021AERS 22024 Feb 21
27434   2002-025AOFEQ 52024 Feb 21
43852   2018-104DSTF-12024 Feb 21
44396   2019-038LLEMUR 2 LILLYJO2024 Feb 21
46814   2020-077BFLOCK 4EP 72024 Feb 21
47309   2021-002ACAPE-32024 Feb 21
47494   2021-006CKFLOCK 4S 32024 Feb 21
48927   2021-059BALEMUR 2 AC-CUBED2024 Feb 21
48942   2021-059BRKSF1-C2024 Feb 21
52014   2022-026GSPACEBEE-1222024 Feb 21
52021   2022-026PSPACEBEE-1252024 Feb 21
53385   2022-096ROBJECT R2024 Feb 21
56959   2023-084ADPHOTON-042024 Feb 21
50162   2021-125GSTARLINK-33032024 Feb 18
58988   2024-032BOBJECT B2024 Feb 18
48904   2021-059ABSPACEBEE-1112024 Feb 17
55245   2023-006DCZ-2D R/B2024 Feb 17
58962   2024-029BSL-4 R/B2024 Feb 17
44409   2019-038ZLEMUR 2 EJATTA2024 Feb 16
44839   2019-087BOBJECT B2024 Feb 16
45102   2020-006BLSTARLINK-11952024 Feb 15
29710   2007-001BCARTOSAT 2AT2024 Feb 14
43908   2018-111AJLUME-12024 Feb 14
46321   2020-061BBFLOCK 4V 22024 Feb 14
48082   2021-022ALFEES2024 Feb 14
48926   2021-059AZKSF1-B2024 Feb 14
49813   2021-117BJINZIJING 1 032024 Feb 14
52193   2022-033ANKSF2-B2024 Feb 14
55441   2023-014BCION SCV-0092024 Feb 14
58649   2023-205EKZ-1A R/B2024 Feb 14
31135   2007-013AAGILE2024 Feb 13
57691   2023-125APROGRESS MS-242024 Feb 13
42927   2017-050GMINOTAUR R/B2024 Feb 12
53358   2022-093BCZ-2F R/B2024 Feb 12
43114   2018-004DICEYE-X12024 Feb 10
43861   2018-104NAEROCUBE 11-EAGLESCOUT2024 Feb 10
44402   2019-038SLEMUR 2 WANLI2024 Feb 10
46295   2020-061ZTYVAK-01712024 Feb 10
48885   2021-059GLEMUR 2 JACKSON2024 Feb 10
57316   1998-067VUMOONLIGHTER2024 Feb 10
58616   2023-202ATYVAK-1015 (TANTRUM)2024 Feb 10
48250   2021-033COBJECT C2024 Feb 9
48257   2021-033KOBJECT K2024 Feb 9
58815   2024-014AAXIOM-32024 Feb 9
58904   2024-022FELECTRON R/B2024 Feb 8
43137   2018-004ACAO-922024 Feb 7
44411   2019-038ABLEMUR 2 GREGROBINSON2024 Feb 7
51031   2022-002AZSANOSAT-12024 Feb 7
56159   2023-049AOBJECT A2024 Feb 7
44964   2020-001BCSTARLINK-10862024 Feb 3
47482   2021-006BXNASA PTD-12024 Feb 3
50006   2021-124BCZ-3B R/B2024 Feb 3
52776   2022-057AWFOSSASAT2E132024 Feb 3
39136   2013-015GBEESAT 22024 Feb 2
52736   2022-057ELEMUR 2 KAREN_B2024 Feb 2
57313   1998-067VROBJECT B2024 Jan 31
44809   2019-081FFLOCK 4P 112024 Jan 30
46235   2020-057BSSKYSAT C192024 Jan 30
46932   2020-085DAPSS-12024 Jan 30
51094   2022-003AOBJECT A2024 Jan 30
57315   1998-067VTOBJECT D2024 Jan 30

Note on TIP Messages

Close to re-entry time for many objects, SpaceTrack issues TIP Messages with a more-precise warning of the event. The meaning of the TIP acronym is 'Tracking and Impact Prediction'.

The message includes an estimated latitude and longitude for when the object will go through a height of 10 kilometres (definition - Space-Track) above the ground based on the estimated time. It is a rough indication of the start point of the ellipse within which debris might fall given that horizontal velocity will have reduced to near-zero because of air resistance. In most cases, the location is meaningless in practical terms because the Window included in the Message covers a long track across the Earth's surface.

TIP Messages are often a source of confusion as people take the predicted time literally and ignore the error margin (Window) that is also part of the message. In 2011 RIA-Novosti used a TIP Message, issued several weeks in advance, to pinpoint a village in North Africa, doggedly insisting that it would feel the full force of of Phobos-Grunt’s re-entry. SpaceTrack's Window was ±2 days, representing over one million kilometres of ground track and a large proportion of the Earth's surface between 52° North and 52° South.


Page information updated as available

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