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| Feeling the Heat!
Air drag and, sometimes, gravitational effects cause satellites to re-enter the Earth's atmosphere. Occasionally, re-entry is caused by a deliberate decision of a satellite owner to fire a retro-rocket and bring some part of a space vehicle back to Earth.
Most re-entries result in the vehicle being destroyed by frictional heating as it passes through the Earth's atmosphere. Some fragments may get through and hit the Earth's surface - hence the system of TIP messages to warn of the event. Only a space vehicle fitted with a heat shield will get through the atmosphere for a landing.
NOTE - Names used here are as used by Space-Track rather than the more-descriptive ones in the Orbital Focus tables.
Anticipated Re-entries
Information comes from Space-Track. Most entries are from the 60-day decay prediction messages. If the re-entry date has already passed then you might find the object is also in the actual re-entry list further down the page.
Below are re-entries expected over the next few weeks. The table includes only natural re-entries of satellites and rocket bodies. It excludes debris items and planned events like a Soyuz, Shenzhou or Dragon spacecraft returning from space station duties.
Cat No |
Designation |
Name (SpaceTrack) |
Predicted Date UTC |
Prediction Issued UTC |
48840 | 2021-050A | OBJECT A | 2024 Jun 25 | 2024 Jun 22 | 45215 | 2020-012AP | STARLINK-1245 | 2024 Jun 25 | 2024 Jun 23 | 41943 | 2017-006B | FREGAT R/B | 2024 Jun 25 | 2024 Jun 26 | 43127 | 2018-004S | DEMOSAT 2 | 2024 Jun 26 | 2024 May 29 | 55642 | 2023-021Q | STARLINK-5478 | 2024 Jun 26 | 2024 Jun 26 | 46072 | 2020-055AX | STARLINK-1539 | 2024 Jun 26 | 2024 Jun 26 | 48561 | 2021-041J | STARLINK-2186 | 2024 Jun 26 | 2024 Jun 26 | 54839 | 2022-177V | STARLINK-5110 | 2024 Jun 26 | 2024 Jun 26 | 48661 | 2021-044Z | STARLINK-2708 | 2024 Jun 27 | 2024 Jun 19 | 53271 | 2022-086AF | STARLINK-4069 | 2024 Jun 27 | 2024 Jun 27 | 45730 | 2020-038A | STARLINK-1461 | 2024 Jun 28 | 2024 Jun 13 | 58345 | 2023-174CT | PICO-01I002 | 2024 Jun 28 | 2024 May 29 | 53946 | 2022-120D | YAOGAN-36 01B | 2024 Jun 28 | 2024 Jun 26 | 58343 | 2023-174CR | PICO-01H004 | 2024 Jun 29 | 2024 May 29 | 39364 | 2013-059B | CZ-2C R/B | 2024 Jun 29 | 2024 Jun 26 | 37855 | 2011-061F | M-CUBED/EXP-1 PRIME | 2024 Jun 30 | 2024 Jun 26 | 58761 | 2024-009D | GRAVITY-1 R/B | 2024 Jun 30 | 2024 Jun 26 | 44104 | 2019-018AC | PSLV R/B | 2024 Jun 30 | 2024 Jun 26 | 40380 | 2015-003E | EXOCUBE | 2024 Jul 1 | 2024 Jun 26 | 46158 | 2020-057AT | STARLINK-1589 | 2024 Jul 1 | 2024 Jun 13 | 46152 | 2020-057AM | STARLINK-1634 | 2024 Jul 2 | 2024 Jun 26 | 58612 | 1998-067WD | BEAK | 2024 Jul 2 | 2024 May 29 | 25527 | 1998-066A | IRIDIUM 2 | 2024 Jul 3 | 2024 Jun 13 | 42776 | 2017-036M | URSA MAIOR | 2024 Jul 3 | 2024 May 29 | 42778 | 2017-036P | MAX VALIER SAT | 2024 Jul 3 | 2024 May 29 | 52945 | 2022-074B | NACHOS-2 | 2024 Jul 3 | 2024 May 29 | 43858 | 2018-104K | OBJECT K | 2024 Jul 5 | 2024 May 29 | 45045 | 2020-006B | STARLINK-1120 | 2024 Jul 5 | 2024 Jun 13 | 59372 | 2024-061B | SL-4 R/B | 2024 Jul 5 | 2024 May 29 | 48941 | 2021-059BQ | SHERPA-LTE1 | 2024 Jul 6 | 2024 Jun 26 | 45079 | 2020-006AM | STARLINK-1149 | 2024 Jul 7 | 2024 Jun 26 | 45681 | 2020-035AA | STARLINK-1396 | 2024 Jul 7 | 2024 Jun 26 | 47744 | 2021-017Y | STARLINK-2158 | 2024 Jul 7 | 2024 Jun 26 | 48409 | 2021-038BJ | STARLINK-2596 | 2024 Jul 7 | 2024 Jun 26 | 59094 | 2024-041W | STARLINK-31302 | 2024 Jul 7 | 2024 May 29 | 44931 | 2020-001T | STARLINK-1128 | 2024 Jul 8 | 2024 May 29 | 57729 | 2023-130C | CZ-2D R/B | 2024 Jul 9 | 2024 May 29 | 47751 | 2021-017AF | STARLINK-2168 | 2024 Jul 10 | 2024 Jun 13 | 47999 | 2021-024Y | STARLINK-2218 | 2024 Jul 10 | 2024 Jun 6 | 46166 | 2020-057BB | STARLINK-1615 | 2024 Jul 14 | 2024 Jun 26 | 55067 | 2023-001BL | NSL-2 | 2024 Jul 14 | 2024 Jun 26 | 51095 | 2022-003B | TECHEDSAT 13 | 2024 Jul 16 | 2024 Jun 26 | 43859 | 2018-104L | OBJECT L | 2024 Jul 17 | 2024 May 29 | 47599 | 2021-009BD | STARLINK-2004 | 2024 Jul 17 | 2024 Jun 6 | 48005 | 2021-024AE | STARLINK-2254 | 2024 Jul 17 | 2024 Jun 26 | 51119 | 2022-005R | STARLINK-3390 | 2024 Jul 17 | 2024 May 29 | 51122 | 2022-005U | STARLINK-3373 | 2024 Jul 17 | 2024 Jun 26 | 47729 | 2021-017H | STARLINK-2132 | 2024 Jul 18 | 2024 Jun 19 | 57887 | 2023-145B | CZ-2D R/B | 2024 Jul 19 | 2024 May 29 | 58615 | 2023-201B | SL-4 R/B | 2024 Jul 19 | 2024 Jun 26 | 42000 | 2017-008BE | DIDO 2 | 2024 Jul 20 | 2024 May 29 | 43690 | 2018-088A | CICERO 10 | 2024 Jul 20 | 2024 Jun 26 | 48103 | 2021-027M | STARLINK-2438 | 2024 Jul 21 | 2024 Jun 26 | 45574 | 2020-025AV | STARLINK-1324 | 2024 Jul 22 | 2024 Jun 26 | 47396 | 2021-005AZ | STARLINK-2118 | 2024 Jul 22 | 2024 Jun 26 | 47181 | 2020-088BM | STARLINK-1927 | 2024 Jul 24 | 2024 Jun 26 | 51797 | 2022-017AF | STARLINK-3627 | 2024 Jul 25 | 2024 Jun 26 | 14819 | 1984-027A | COSMOS 1544 | 2024 Jul 26 | 2024 Jun 19 | 45101 | 2020-006BK | STARLINK-1194 | 2024 Jul 26 | 2024 Jun 19 | 41171 | 2015-077F | VELOX 2 | 2024 Jul 27 | 2024 Jun 19 | 45559 | 2020-025AE | STARLINK-1344 | 2024 Jul 27 | 2024 Jun 6 | 47581 | 2021-009AK | STARLINK-1984 | 2024 Jul 27 | 2024 Jun 13 |
Recent TIP Messages
Publication of TIP messages is not a matter of routine and they are not issued for all re-entries. They are more up to date and more precise than entries in the table and take precedence over them.
Readers unfamiliar with how to interpret TIP messages are recommended to read the Note at the bottom of the page.
Sometimes there may be a delay between the final TIP message and the re-entry being formally logged in Space-Track's Catalogue so a Message here may relate to a re-entry that has not yet moved from the 'Anticipated' list to the 'Recent' list.
Orbital Focus shows the predicted impact point only when the Window is less than about one quarter orbit. Even then it represents as much as +/-9000 km.
Table created: 2024 Jun 27, 20:47 UTC
Cat No & Designation |
Name (Space-Track) |
Predicted Date & Time UTC |
Lat, Long & Heading (10 km altitude) |
TIP Message Issued UTC |
58824 2024-016E | OBJECT E | 2024 Jun 24 07:33 ± 1 minutes | 60°.6 south, 49°.9 east southbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2024 Jun 24 10:28 | 58761 2024-009D | GRAVITY-1 R/B | 2024 Jun 30 05:05 ± 960 minutes | | 2024 Jun 27 05:48 | 57989 2023-152D | CZ-2D DEB | 2024 Jun 30 17:44 ± 960 minutes | | 2024 Jun 27 17:30 | 57887 2023-145B | CZ-2D R/B | 2024 Jun 23 21:13 ± 1 minutes | 31°.8 south, 89°.9 east northbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2024 Jun 23 23:37 | 57729 2023-130C | CZ-2D R/B | 2024 Jun 23 06:27 ± 38 minutes | | 2024 Jun 23 14:00 | 55997 2023-042M | STARLINK-5904 | 2024 Jun 23 08:36 ± 1 minutes | 26°.6 north, 149°.4 east northbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2024 Jun 23 17:19 | 55642 2023-021Q | STARLINK-5478 | 2024 Jun 26 01:16 ± 1 minutes | 42°.9 south, 18°.5 west northbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2024 Jun 26 02:46 | 54839 2022-177V | STARLINK-5110 | 2024 Jun 26 09:11 ± 7 minutes | 16°.2 south, 172°.9 east northbound, ± 0.08 orbits | 2024 Jun 26 12:34 | 54189 2022-141AJ | STARLINK-5182 | 2024 Jun 24 05:26 ± 1 minutes | 16°.8 north, 25°.6 east southbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2024 Jun 24 08:07 | 53946 2022-120D | YAOGAN-36 01B | 2024 Jun 28 18:26 ± 300 minutes | | 2024 Jun 27 18:43 | 53271 2022-086AF | STARLINK-4069 | 2024 Jun 27 09:29 ± 10 minutes | 2°.7 south, 19°.5 west northbound, ± 0.11 orbits | 2024 Jun 27 14:11 | 53148 2022-083S | STARLINK-4066 | 2024 Jun 24 11:13 ± 1 minutes | 22°.1 north, 77°.9 west northbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2024 Jun 24 17:43 | 48840 2021-050A | OBJECT A | 2024 Jun 24 09:15 ± 6 minutes | 43°.5 north, 62°.2 east southbound, ± 0.07 orbits | 2024 Jun 24 17:37 | 48561 2021-041J | STARLINK-2186 | 2024 Jun 26 03:49 ± 1 minutes | 15°.2 north, 162°.8 east southbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2024 Jun 26 10:17 | 48108 2021-027S | STARLINK-2444 | 2024 Jun 23 22:15 ± 16 minutes | 51°.3 north, 139°.6 west northbound, ± 0.18 orbits | 2024 Jun 24 03:12 | 48011 2021-024AL | STARLINK-2272 | 2024 Jun 22 23:30 ± 1 minutes | 7°.8 south, 62°.1 west northbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2024 Jun 23 00:15 | 47813 2021-018AC | STARLINK-2394 | 2024 Jun 23 08:36 ± 1 minutes | 26°.2 north, 149°.7 east northbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2024 Jun 24 06:51 | 46158 2020-057AT | STARLINK-1589 | 2024 Jun 24 16:00 ± 45 minutes | | 2024 Jun 24 21:09 | 46072 2020-055AX | STARLINK-1539 | 2024 Jun 26 01:22 ± 1 minutes | 19°.4 north, 164°.6 west southbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2024 Jun 26 08:47 | 46049 2020-055Y | STARLINK-1530 | 2024 Jun 22 20:22 ± 1 minutes | 35°.5 south, 12°.5 east southbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2024 Jun 23 01:30 | 45713 2020-035BJ | STARLINK-1436 | 2024 Jun 22 22:53 ± 1 minutes | 33°.3 south, 34°.3 east northbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2024 Jun 22 23:45 | 45215 2020-012AP | STARLINK-1245 | 2024 Jun 25 02:55 ± 23 minutes | | 2024 Jun 25 07:21 | 45045 2020-006B | STARLINK-1120 | 2024 Jun 24 17:25 ± 2 minutes | 39°.7 north, 10°.0 east northbound, ± 0.02 orbits | 2024 Jun 24 22:05 | 44422 2019-039B | COSMOS 2536 | 2024 Jun 21 13:39 ± 40 minutes | | 2024 Jun 21 19:03 | 44104 2019-018AC | PSLV R/B | 2024 Jun 30 15:22 ± 840 minutes | | 2024 Jun 27 18:03 | 41943 2017-006B | FREGAT R/B | 2024 Jun 25 23:23 ± 1 minutes | 0°.7 south, 129°.8 west southbound, ± 0.01 orbits | 2024 Jun 26 10:23 | 39364 2013-059B | CZ-2C R/B | 2024 Jun 29 13:25 ± 540 minutes | | 2024 Jun 27 15:56 | 25527 1998-066A | IRIDIUM 2 | 2024 Jul 1 01:27 ± 1080 minutes | | 2024 Jun 27 08:55 |
Recent Re-entries
This table is extracted from Space-Track's Catalogue and lists major re-entries that occurred in the last 30 days, whether natural or deliberate. The list is updated every few hours.
Cat No |
Designation |
Name (SpaceTrack) |
Date UTC |
46072 | 2020-055AX | STARLINK-1539 | 2024 Jun 26 | 48561 | 2021-041J | STARLINK-2186 | 2024 Jun 26 | 54839 | 2022-177V | STARLINK-5110 | 2024 Jun 26 | 55642 | 2023-021Q | STARLINK-5478 | 2024 Jun 26 | 41943 | 2017-006B | FREGAT R/B | 2024 Jun 25 | 45215 | 2020-012AP | STARLINK-1245 | 2024 Jun 25 | 45045 | 2020-006B | STARLINK-1120 | 2024 Jun 24 | 46158 | 2020-057AT | STARLINK-1589 | 2024 Jun 24 | 47813 | 2021-018AC | STARLINK-2394 | 2024 Jun 24 | 48108 | 2021-027S | STARLINK-2444 | 2024 Jun 24 | 48840 | 2021-050A | OBJECT A | 2024 Jun 24 | 53148 | 2022-083S | STARLINK-4066 | 2024 Jun 24 | 54189 | 2022-141AJ | STARLINK-5182 | 2024 Jun 24 | 58824 | 2024-016E | OBJECT E | 2024 Jun 24 | 45713 | 2020-035BJ | STARLINK-1436 | 2024 Jun 23 | 46049 | 2020-055Y | STARLINK-1530 | 2024 Jun 23 | 48011 | 2021-024AL | STARLINK-2272 | 2024 Jun 23 | 55997 | 2023-042M | STARLINK-5904 | 2024 Jun 23 | 57729 | 2023-130C | CZ-2D R/B | 2024 Jun 23 | 57887 | 2023-145B | CZ-2D R/B | 2024 Jun 23 | 44392 | 2019-038G | VDNH 80 | 2024 Jun 21 | 44422 | 2019-039B | COSMOS 2536 | 2024 Jun 21 | 47465 | 2021-006BE | SPACEBEE-57 | 2024 Jun 21 | 47966 | 2021-023B | CENTAURI-3 (TYVAK-0210) | 2024 Jun 21 | 47452 | 2021-006AR | FLOCK 4S 22 | 2024 Jun 20 | 47529 | 2021-006DV | LEMUR 2 CHANTAL | 2024 Jun 20 | 51010 | 2022-002AC | FLOCK 4X 15 | 2024 Jun 19 | 43840 | 2018-102K | OBJECT K | 2024 Jun 18 | 58290 | 2023-174AL | OBJECT AL | 2024 Jun 18 | 59966 | 2024-108B | ELECTRON R/B | 2024 Jun 18 | 47442 | 2021-006AF | SPACEBEE-63 | 2024 Jun 17 | 55704 | 2023-026K | STARLINK-30051 | 2024 Jun 17 | 47476 | 2021-006BR | KEPLER-8 (AMAROK) | 2024 Jun 16 | 48083 | 2021-022AM | BEESAT-5 | 2024 Jun 16 | 58289 | 2023-174AK | OBJECT AK | 2024 Jun 16 | 47296 | 2020-102A | YUANGUANG | 2024 Jun 15 | 43118 | 2018-004H | CORVUS BC3 | 2024 Jun 14 | 47299 | 2020-102D | TIANQI-8 | 2024 Jun 14 | 47531 | 2021-006DX | KEPLER-9 (ARTEMIS) | 2024 Jun 14 | 52780 | 2022-057BA | CPOD FLT2 (TYVAK-0033) | 2024 Jun 14 | 56082 | 2023-043AN | GSLV R/B | 2024 Jun 14 | 41889 | 2016-078F | CYGFM06 | 2024 Jun 13 | 47441 | 2021-006AE | OBJECT AE | 2024 Jun 13 | 54365 | 2022-158E | INS-2B | 2024 Jun 13 | 59311 | 2024-056R | STARLINK-31469 | 2024 Jun 13 | 42793 | 2017-036AE | CICERO 6 | 2024 Jun 11 | 46026 | 2020-054B | TSINGHUA SCIENCE | 2024 Jun 11 | 58930 | 2024-026B | SL-4 R/B | 2024 Jun 10 | 59293 | 2024-053F | ELECTRON R/B | 2024 Jun 10 | 59882 | 2024-099B | ELECTRON R/B | 2024 Jun 10 | 41759 | 2016-056A | OFEQ 11 | 2024 Jun 9 | 45659 | 2020-035C | STARLINK-1442 | 2024 Jun 9 | 46686 | 2020-073S | STARLINK-1783 | 2024 Jun 9 | 46704 | 2020-073AL | STARLINK-1804 | 2024 Jun 9 | 51723 | 2022-016K | STARLINK-3531 | 2024 Jun 9 | 52772 | 2022-057AS | CPOD FLT1 (TYVAK-0032) | 2024 Jun 9 | 53377 | 2022-096H | OBJECT H | 2024 Jun 9 | 46350 | 2020-062AB | STARLINK-1617 | 2024 Jun 8 | 48146 | 2021-027BG | STARLINK-2489 | 2024 Jun 8 | 51952 | 2022-023G | OBJECT G | 2024 Jun 8 | 44419 | 2019-038F | JAISAT 1 | 2024 Jun 7 | 45941 | 2020-051C | TIANQI-10 | 2024 Jun 7 | 52418 | 2022-047AA | TRSI-3 | 2024 Jun 7 | 44393 | 2019-038H | D STAR ONE (LIGHTSAT) | 2024 Jun 6 | 58792 | 2024-012F | STARLINK-31194 | 2024 Jun 6 | 44397 | 2019-038M | OBJECT M | 2024 Jun 5 | 53381 | 2022-096M | OBJECT M | 2024 Jun 5 | 10998 | 1978-066D | SL-6 R/B(2) | 2024 Jun 4 | 44412 | 2019-038AC | BEESAT 9 | 2024 Jun 4 | 45250 | 2020-014B | XJS D | 2024 Jun 4 | 59796 | 2024-093Q | STARLINK-31915 | 2024 Jun 4 | 37854 | 2011-061E | AUBIESAT-1 | 2024 Jun 1 | 59001 | 2024-036D | STARLINK-31525 | 2024 Jun 1 | 59914 | 2024-103B | SL-4 R/B | 2024 Jun 1 | 46722 | 2020-073BE | STARLINK-1825 | 2024 May 31 | 52420 | 2022-047AC | TRSI-2 | 2024 May 31 | 53347 | 2022-090B | OBJECT B | 2024 May 30 | 56936 | 2023-084E | FOSSASAT2E14 (FEROX) | 2024 May 30 | 56938 | 2023-084G | FOSSASAT2E15 (FEROX) | 2024 May 30 | 48898 | 2021-059V | CENTAURI-4 (TYVAK-0211) | 2024 May 29 | 51021 | 2022-002AP | LEMUR 2 RAMONAMAE | 2024 May 29 |
Note on TIP Messages
Close to re-entry time for many objects, SpaceTrack issues TIP Messages with a more-precise warning of the event. The meaning of the TIP acronym is 'Tracking and Impact Prediction'.
The message includes an estimated latitude and longitude for when the object will go through a height of 10 kilometres (definition - Space-Track) above the ground based on the estimated time. It is a rough indication of the start point of the ellipse within which debris might fall given that horizontal velocity will have reduced to near-zero because of air resistance. In most cases, the location is meaningless in practical terms because the Window included in the Message covers a long track across the Earth's surface.
TIP Messages are often a source of confusion as people take the predicted time literally and ignore the error margin (Window) that is also part of the message. In 2011 RIA-Novosti used a TIP Message, issued several weeks in advance, to pinpoint a village in North Africa, doggedly insisting that it would feel the full force of of Phobos-Grunt’s re-entry. SpaceTrack's Window was ±2 days, representing over one million kilometres of ground track and a large proportion of the Earth's surface between 52° North and 52° South.
Page information updated as available |
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